Which console will have the most million sellers?

[Ail]

Final-Fan said:

Ail said:

Erik Aston said:
People may be surprised with how fast Wii can catch up, especially since the perception is right now that 360 is stretching its lead.

Folks who have watched the database carefully may have noticed 2 things recently. First of all, a big database update for DS put a whole slew of games across critical marks, just a few months ago... And second, in last week's data, Wii added 11 500K sellers. So there are ways for a gap of 24 titles to disappear very quickly.

For that first point... If you doubt that there could potentially be a backlog of undertracked/no "others" data Wii million-sellers, remember that Nintendo announced there was 36 Wii million-shippers at the end of September. With most of the holiday season gone, VGC still is only to 34. (You can blame "shipments, not sales" too, of course.)

I think of it like this. Wii is ahead at one end of the spectrum with 10m sellers. These massive mega-sellers are made possible by the huge install base. It is ahead at the other end of the spectrum with 10K sellers. The massive amount of games with at least a tiny amount of sales is due to the higher total amount of games. 360 is ahead for most of the points in the middle. This represents a balance between the install base and the amount of titles; third parties as a whole release a safe amount of games so each game can sell a safe amount given the known, and linearly growing install base.

Wii will take a long time to find that balance. The huge sales of the system will result in a flood of too many titles. Misunderstanding of Wii's strategy will keep games from competing with Nintendo's 10m sellers so that more games total reach a mid-level sales threshold. But eventually, the two forces of install base and amount of games will be too overwhelming, and Wii will pull ahead of 360 at virtually every sales level.

The long and short of it is, nothing I have seen in the last few months has altered my perception of how this race is shaping up. Principles are not subject to circumstances, and the principles are still in Wii's favor.

These 10 million sellers are the reason the Wii isn't closing the gap.

Months over months the same title top the Wii charts, whereas new title keep topping the 360 charts ensuring the 360 has a steady supply of new million sellers.

As long as Wii owners keep purchasing the same 3 titles ( Mario Kart, Wii Fit, Wii Play), the Wii will not close the gap...

So if a Wii game sells the same as a 360 Top 10 game, but gets pushed lower on (or pushed off) the Wii Top 10 chart because of Wii Play, Wii Fit, MKW, etc., then ... ?

Then nothing.  It doesn't matter for sales. 

And if you're suggesting that those Nintendo games will sell SO massively that Wii owners won't even BUY anything else ... well, I guess you have more faith in Nintendo than we thought.

 

Well did you look at the sales charts these last months ?

The 3 Wii titles I mentionned seem to be the de facto purchase for new Wii owners and are eating the sales of others titles...

There isn't really a de facto purchase for 360 owners though so which ever AA title was recently released gets their pick...