Prediction: Xbox 360 will not fall below 200k any time 2009...

[Oyvoyvoyv]

Seems incredibly optimistic.

 

If we say that X360's 09 holiday will be equal to the 08 holiday (unlikely, 08 had a price cut) that means that X360 will sell 4.5-5M in the last 9 weeks.

So 225K * 43 = 9.7M.

You're expecting that the 360 will at the very least sell 14M in 09.

Excluding November + December, I'm fairly certain X360 will not even average 200K weekly.

 

I'm not going to have a bet about that though, as it would take 10 months to fulfill it.

 

So, if you are interested Squilliam, I'll have this bet.

 

In Q1 09, the X360 will not average 230K weekly (sell 3000K).

 

I'm not going to accept your other bet, as I feel to certain I'd win. This bet, however, I feel is pretty 50/50 who wins. You should feel that you're certain to win though.

 

I don't know what terms I'll have (or rather who should be the third party), so I'll let you choose. (I will have to accept who it is though, I'm not going to let Leo-J control my sig).