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Larger demographic but less overall wealth. I think with the big post Christmas retail layoffs coming in January through March (all those people retail didn't let go in Sept-Nov. because they needed a larger workforce for the holidays) will hit US sales especially hard for a couple months, this of course will be the hardest on the 360 due to it's reliance on US sales.

Still it's a good prediction and by April we'll see if it looks likely to hold up for the year.