| BengaBenga said: Honest question: Does anyone think 1 million first week will be a success? Cause I don't understand why this should be the treshold. I'm pretty sure Square doesn't see 1 million first week as a success. I think everything under 1.5 million week 1 is a dissapointment. |
In terms of development costs this game must have cost s huge amount to make, it and Versus have already been in development for years. I would think the cost would be in the league of games like GT5 but the advantage for GT5 is that much of the development costs have been recouped thanks to the prologue. SE do not have this luxury, if this and Versus are super duper expensive games I would think 3-4 million sales would be needed to break even. FFXIII will do that easily, I have enough faith in Versus to think it will also do that easily, looks pretty darn amazing for what is esentailly not a flagship game.
GT5 however has probably had 30-40% of developent costs covered thanks to the prologue, chances are by the time the full game releases every sales will be profit for Sony. However what I do think is that SE are waiting for the install base for PS3 to increase before they release the game, same with Sony and there firsty party title GT5.
All in all 1 million first week in Japan looks a certainty. A good ol' price drop and the inevitable games (RE5, Yakuza 3) releasing before FFXIII releases and 1.5 million looks easy. Remember FF games sell best in Japan even though Japan always has lower install bases compared to EU and NA. Once again GT5, if that game releases before FFXIII SE will probably make love to Sony as it will sell a lot of hardware.
