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HappySqurriel said:
Oyvoyvoyv said:

Yup, it looks like Ps2 will end at ~ 72% (140M out of 195M)

The previous generations stand at ~

NES: 82% (60M/73M)

SNES: 52% (49/95M)

Ps1: 65% (102.5M/155.5M)

Ps2: 72% (140/195M)

 

So the Wii will not be as dominant as the Ps1 (it would probably need 200M to do so, assuming Ps360 = at least 100M, which they will) meaning that the Wii is the 2nd least dominating console so far.

This gen is the closest yet

 

Edit: Oops, wrong quote

 

 

The assumption that the PS3 and 360 combine for sales of 100 Million may or may not be that realistic anymore ...

In order for them to hit 100 Million they would need to maintain their combined sales numbers for another 3 years; this is not impossible, but we will see the release of two new handheld systems in that time, be in the the middle of a very bad recession, third party support will continue to shift towards the Wii, and many of the selling features of the HD consoles will become inexpensively available elsewhere.

Very good point. PS3 and XBox 360 may not reach 100 million sales combined. However Wii would pick up more sales and grab more market share as the two HD consoles dwindle in sales numbers over the next three years.

The market leader tends to accelerate its margin over its competition as time goes by. NES, SNES, PS1, PS2, and DS have all proven this theory.

The sales of the PS3 and XBox 360 are expected to decline in the next three years. Wii sales rates will sell at an equal or faster rate over the next three years.