300 million consoles will be sold this generation. Read on...

[Comrade Tovya]

radha said:

Comrade Tovya said:

kowenicki said:
300 million? Doubt it.

So when is the next gen console luanching? 2011, 2012... 2013 latest.

We are only just over a 1/4 of the way to 300m consoles sold. o we are going to see 220m sales of consoles in the next 4 years? No way.

 

Right, and I think due to the historical trends of each console generation, we are seeing the peaks in weekly sales right now.  The first few years of a generation is when the largest, fastest upswing happens.  I think after the holidays, we'll see a slow trend start in less sales per month than prior to that time.

 

Yes but this is middle cycle for the 360 but not for ps3 and wii, maybe the next year will be the peek for this gen, and this gen we have seen a market evolution like never befor, from highly expensive development to "casual gamers" joining in. I find soo wierd this gen and the fact that the japan dev industry is in detriment is so something unspected.

 

No.  I think that the Wii will buck the trend hard and sell like crazy well until this generation is over.  I'm still on fence when it comes to the PS3... it's too expensive, and Sony can't afford to drop the price, nor can they afford to wait too long to drop the price either.

Sony could just as easily find success and they could completely bomb this generation.  I think they will fall somewhere in the middle.  Successful enough to warrant staying in the war, but fail enough to disappoint the execs at Sony.

For the fans of any of the consoles, it really shouldn't matter.  As long as your console(s) of choice continues to make games that you enjoy, who comes in first or last doesn't really matter. 

The most important thing is to be honest with yourself.  If you're a fanboy who has still convinced him/herself that the PS3 will dominate at somepoint, you're only setting yourself up for disappointment later.  A better bet is just to not worry about the PS3 getting left behind in the race, because it doesn't make it any less of an enjoyable console.