my prediction for 2008 was 45 million at the years end.... I think I am gonna be really close.
I think for 2009.... Well, lets see the Wii sold about 25 million give or take this year... I dont think it can go too much higher... hmm.... 73 million. By Jan1, 2010.
2009 will be the peak year with about 28 million sold, the next year shall be alittle less but not a big drop, maybe 26 mil. Then we will see fairly drastic drops year to year due to saturation.
so
28 mil in 09
26 mil in 2010
19 mil in 2011 (199.99 Wii)
14 mil in 2012 (Wii 2 lauches)
10 mil in 2013 (wii 1 goes bargain price at 129.99)
It it follows that it will finish with about 140 million consoles sold before it goes into its dying years (maybe 10-15 more lifetime)
At about 150 million it will be the best selling console yet.
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut
