superchunk on 13 December 2008
"If they increase by 33% again in March 2009, that'll bring it to 3.2m/month, or 38.4/year."
They won't.
Nintendo has realized a threshold that will meet demand by March of 2009 at the current levels. It will remain at 2.4m/month throughout 2009.
This means ~45m this year and probably ~70m by end of 2010.
With 360 at ~27m this year and probably ~35m by 2010, then you have the PS3 at ~19m this year and probably ~30m by 2010. That gives them a total of ~65m.
Wii will definitely be >50% market share in 2009.
