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I think it will depend on how this year finishes up ...

The Wii sold 2+ Million units in November in the United States alone acording to NPD, and it is possible that Nintendo will have sold between 46 and 48 Million units by the end of 2008. In my opinion the lower limit on a reasonable prediction for Wii sales in 2009 is (roughly) 24 Million units and the upper limit would be 36 Million units; and the most realistic prediction would be around 30 Million units sold. These predictions would have the Wii's end of 2009 total between 70 and 82 Million units, with the most releastic prediction being 76 Million.