Its tough but I think GTA 4 will win GOTY. It had it's faults but in the end the gameplay was there. I still play it occasionally to try to reach the 100% mark. The only other game that can win it is MGS 4. MGS 4 was a good game (not great or spectacular). The cutscenes in MGS 4 were great but the gameplay was very sparse because of the cutscenes. If I had to choose between the two for GOTY I go with GTA 4.