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I basically agree.  It will be extremely dificult for Nintendo (or anyone) to duplicate the success of the Wii.  Hardcore fans may buy every upgraded product (which is why Sony and MS can introduce their products at such high levels, but need to drop prices fairly quickly after the hardcore market has bought their products), but the casual consumer requires alot of convincing.  But even if the WiiII does half as well as the origional, it will still be a huge success.  I think Nintendo will take everything that made the Wii so successful and expand on it (family, women, childeren, the elderly, and even men).  I would love to see more focus on the disabled as well.