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But Microsoft and Nintendo do too .. They are no different


Exactly, so what is your point? In contrast to last gen when XBOX and Gamecube only had 20m sales in total all three consoles will have reached this soon this gen. So it is unlikely that we will have a short life of one of them like the original XBOX had. I think it's fair to say that the PS3 will have some advantages in the second half of its lifecycle. Third-party support will not get smaller since the HD consoles are now in effect one market and its simply the best if most expensive hardware. Doesn't mean that will it "win". This train has left the station.