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I really don't know, but I tend to doubt it.

Quite a few PS2s had to be rebuys, either because of the faulty early consoles or because of updated models. Wiis seem more reliable, and you can't really come out with a Wee Wii.

As well, I think that the 360 is going to move more than the XB while the PS3 ends up moving a few more than the GCN. The market's going to have grown, but how much?