| gebx said: /raises hand with red flags... I have a few reasons A) Userbase is approaching 20 million.. won't hit 30 million till the next holiday.. so not all the games mentioned will have that big of a userbase On the other hand GoW3 and GT5 will be huge... my guess is a combined 8 million between the two of them.. My guess all 6 games mentioned will sell 10-12 million combined by Jan 2010
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A.) The games are releasing in 2009, most near the end of 2009 so therefore we'd have to talk about the userbase in that year not what its currently at.
B.) Unlikely, From all reports and my personal experience Killzone 2 is a top tier shooter in the same rank as Gears of War, Call of Duty, Halo so it'll sell well. It'll probably best COD WAW PS3 sales but not the combined sales of all different consoles.
C.) Uncharted actually sold rather than was excessively bundled.
D.) Mag sales don't really matter, I was being extremely conservative. 15 million between six games when one includes GT5 is always going to be a conservative number.
G.) Same deal as MAG, the real games are Uncharted, GOW III and GT5. GT is arguably an even bigger series than Halo and therefore the sales should be a large proportion of that 15 million I estimated. Gears sold 5 million on a tiny userbase, and Halo sold 8 million and started on a smaller userbase.
Tease.
