Current games in top 100 all-time best-sellers list.

[Oyvoyvoyv]

I posted this here in another thread.

 

Before Wii/DS the list was as this (top 10 best sellers)

1. SMB (NES) 40.24M

2. Pokemon Red/Blue (GB) Pokemon Red/Blue 33.33M

3. Tetris (GB) 30.26M

4. Duch Hunt (NES) 28.31M

5. Pokemon Gold/Silver (GB) 23.11M

6. SMW (SNES) 20.61M

7. SM land (GB) 18.14M

8. GTA:SA (Ps2) 17.48M

9. SMB3 (NES) 17.28M

10. The Sims (PC) 16.08M

 

NES - 3 titles

GB - 4 titles

SNES - 1 title

Ps2 - 1 title

PC - 1 title

 

And by generation

 

3rd gen - 5 titles

4th gen - 3 titles

5th gen - 1 title

6th gen - 1 title

 

Looked like fewer and fewer games were able to sell a lot. Now, after this gen, I believe we will see something around this.

 

How I believe the list will be (reasoning after the list).

1. Wii Sports (Wii) number doesn't matter - it will be 1st. 

2. SMB (NES) - 40.24M

3. Wii Play (Wii) 33-40M

4. Wii Fit (Wii) 33-40M

5. Pokemon Red/Blue (GB) 33.33M

6. Nintendogs (DS) 30-33M

7. Tetris (GB)- 30.26M

8. Duck Hunt (NES)- 28.31M

9. Pokemon Gold/Silver (GB)- 23.11M

10. NSMB -(DS) 20-23M

 

NES - 2 titles

GB - 3 titles

DS - 2 titles

Wii - 3 titles

 

So by generation.

3rd gen - 4 titles

4th gen - 1 title

5th gen - 0 titles

6th gen - 0 titles

7th gen - 7 titles.

 

Reasoning.

 

1. Wii Sports (Guaranteed 50M +)

2 + 3rd + 4th SMB/Wii Play/Wii Fit

Wii Play does now only sell 1/3 of the number of consoles sold on a weekly basis. The Wii would need to sell over 100M to make it beat SMB (no, not 120M, as Wii Play is higher on AR now than 1/3).

Wii Fit is huge, but it is not certain how long it will last. Still, it is likely that both Wii Play and Wii Fit will break 33M.

Nintendogs is possible too, but that depends on how much longer the DS' life is.

 

5th + 6th + 7th. Nintendogs/Pokemon Blue/Red and Tetris

Nintendogs is still selling 50-100K weekly. It "only" needs 13M more to get to Pokemon. Still, Nintendogs is slowing down, and sold a totally crappy 3M so far this year. This means that is should be selling 4-5M a year. I thus think that it should beat 30M, but 33M might be too much. Of course, Nintendogs could end 7th

 

8th. Duck Hunt - no question about it. Possibly Wii Fit/Nintendogs could get a sequel or something or stop up completely and sell 28M "only"

 

9th/10th. Has to beat Pokemon Gold/Silver (23M) and Super Mario World (20.61M)

NSMB is at 16.21M. Sells good overall, and should manage to overtake SMW. It is unlikely that it will make 23M though, and if another title beats NSMB and sells more than it, NSMB will not make it.

About (16.31M) the same as NSMB, but I don't think it will manage to beat NSMB in the long run, and does thus not have a change of entering the top 10.

 

 

...

 

I don't really know how much relevance it has to this thread, but I still posted it.