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madkiller said:

 Once again this makes making a new system completely pointless and a waste of time. You need to learn really quickly that new game systems will always dwarf the previous ones. This is called technology progression and has been happening since the beginning of mankind. This will never change, EVER...

 

Ninty showed that the new system does not need to "dwarf" the previous one. The Wii is not much better technologically than the GC. It did however introduce a new experience - motion sensitive controls.

So you are partially right - the new gen must introduce something much better than the previous generation. The innovation and progression just does not have to be based on processing power and can be done in a way that allows the previous generation to be upgraded instead of being rendered obsolite.

For this gen, Microsoft added Power, On-Line and HD, Sony offered Power, BR and HD and the Wii offered just motion sensitive controls as a standard accessory. Interesting that the winner was the one who offered something that could have run on the old-gen HW as well.



Prediction made on 11/1/2008:

Q4 2008: 27M xbox LTD, 20M PS3 LTD . 2009 sales: 11M xbox,  9M PS3