NJ5 said: @amirnetz: I don't think 3rd parties will be ignoring Sony, their userbase is still big enough to make it worth it to port games.
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It will not happen quickly. But it will happen gradually. All the big releases will go multi-plats. But the smaller developers will look for cost cutting and cutting support for the PS3 will mean lower costs, easier development and a much faster release time.
Remember the original Xbox - 25M installed base and it was getting only a fraction of the titles.
With a limited PS3 install base and small attach rates, Microsoft can also buy fairly inexpensively time exlusivity for the 360 versions and accelerate the process even further.
Prediction made on 11/1/2008:
Q4 2008: 27M xbox LTD, 20M PS3 LTD . 2009 sales: 11M xbox, 9M PS3