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Hus said:
360 is only 1 million ahead of the original xbox if you align release dates.

Considering the 360 cost more I'd say that 1 million is pretty significant.  When you add it to the fact that the 360 will have a longer lifespan than the Xbox it's very likely that it's userbase will be well above the Xbox's levels.  Also the original Xbox had pricecuts much ealier in it's life than the 360 did.  It'll be interesting to see what happens to the 360 when it reaches the $200 price point.