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Im thinking 6-7M.

GT3 was the first AAA must have title for the PS2. That will not be the case with GT5.

GT3 had no competition on the PS2 or other consoles. GT5 will have Forza 2 (probably Forza 3 is waiting to be released as well) on the 360. Forza 1 was considered superior to GT4. Forza 3 will be very comparable and on a console that has a larger install base.

GT5 will not create a big rush of new PS3's being sold. Around 30 million PS3s will have been sold by the time GT5 releases. Much of the GT5 sales will come from this group of PS3 owners.



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.