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Lord N said:

It isn't going to happen.

In order to reach 100 million by that point in time, the Wii would have to reach 80 million by the end of 2009. Even if the Wii sold 1 million units per week for the rest of the year, it would be at 43 million, which means that it would need to sell 37 million in one year. Even if the remaining total of 57 million were split up between two years, it would have to sell 28.5 million/year, which is even more than the DS at its best.



 

DS shipped 30.31m in the fiscal year that ended in March, 2008, and N are projecting sales of 30.5m for the current fiscal year, along with 27.5m Wiis. (They generally underestimate.)

 

http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2008/081030e.pdf



"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."

Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.