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quaiky on 17 November 2008
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goddog said:
FinalEvangelion said:

 

This is a good graph on adoption of various technologies in the past I found on Blu-ray forums / AVS.  As you can see, these technologies aren't accepted over night and are often met with alot of resistance in the first years.  BD has already surpassed LD in two years what LD did in 20 years.

if you believe these charts dvd, only has a 40% market penetration right now

who did the research on these?  does it include gaming stations? how about computers that play dvds? 

also the B&W tv chart is waaaaaay off. B&W tv was available in the late 1920s, and color as early as 47. 

 

not true. dvd is the first line and its at bit below 70% in the 7th year (which is 2004 based on start in 1997 according to that graph),  so dvd had the fastest adoption rate till now.

what year do we see as the start of BD? 2006, if you start with 2008 then near 10% is a really good adoption rate till now.

But to keep up with DVD it has to do about 10% per year from now on which will be harder i guess since it will be dependant on HDTV adoption rate too (no idea how high that is atm).