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Halo 3 will be the first. Depending on how long this gen lasts, and when they hit bargain bin prices there may be an outside chance for GTA4 and CoD4.

I think it's still too early to judge Gears 2's legs. Some people may write it off since the first only did a little over 5M, but CoD2 and 3 each only did a little over 2M whereas 4 is a beast, so Gears 2 is a wild card that could go either way. Again, it all depends on how long this gen ends up lasting.