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scabab on 15 November 2008
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Onyxmeth said:
darthdevidem01 said:

@onyxmeth

I was saying that in his context of use.....+ mrstickball's GEOW 2 predictions was quite high compared to the actual numbers that came. which rankings are we talking about.....online leaderboards or the Xbox 360 gamercard.com thing??

we have clear evidence here & he is refuting those claims by saying mrstickabll's evidence says 360 version sold "___" so PS3 one is much lower anyway.

So this time I guess the PS3 version is closer to the 360 one....

His predictions weren't high. He was misquoted. He said Gears would do over 3 million it's first week, meaning it's first full week, not the 2 days it would be counted for because it got released on a Friday. Go back into the topic, and he explains it in there.

Secondly, stick is not just reading off a number on some leaderboards and calling it a day. He actually has numbers he has to crunch to come at his predictions, and that is why they are typically very good.

scabab is just reading off the leaderboards, which don't account for additional sales of people that don't go online, so he just randomly tacked on 100,000. That isn't a good prediction, that is a guess. It doesn't account for rentals, multiple PSN accounts, or games that end up being shown off at your friend's house. scabab could very well be right, or he could be very off the mark, but in the end, it's nothing more than a guess.

freebird was the one who mentioned the 3/5ths rule for PS3 to 360 ratios. Usually that's pretty spot on with games like this(FPS), but let's wait and see.

Ultimately, my point to you is, what scabab and mrstickball do are not equal, and shouldn't be treated in equal reliability. stick knows what hes doing and scabab is reading off the leaderboards. Anybody could do that.

 

 


I didnt add a whole 100k, when i first checked there were 320k+ players, so just an extra 75-80k none online players, thats nothing. COD4 has sold 3.7 mil copies but theres only about 2.4 million on the scoreboard. And when i checked last there were 370k players so thats just another 30k to make 400k.