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S.T.A.G.E. said:

Gears of War has an installed fanbase and better marketing and so does Fable 2. I told all of the Sony fanboys that LBP wasn't going to be the PS3's saving grace. It's going to be GT5. Also if you want to blame people for the sales of LBP blame Sony for splitting the PS3 installed base between tech and hi-def dvd buffs and Gamers, instead of primarily having the consumers focus on games. Sony expects certain sales, but in reality they should lower it because as I said, less than 1/4 of installed base actually purchases games. GT5 might bring out more sales and push more consoles, who knows?

 

I agree with most of what you said, but do remember that GT5 impact will be inversely proportional to the time it takes until launch. IMHO one of the biggest managerial blunders Sony has made this gen is delaying their top-tier first party franchise for so long.

Console generations are a race against time, remember that below 10% of users have more than one home console which means as time goes by every 10 sales of a competitor are 9 lost sales for you. In other words the 360 has already swallowed 20M potential ps3 customers. The Wii is harder to gauge because it's got many sales coming from people who otherwise wouldn't have touched a console with a 10ft pole but it's eating a good share of the traditional (let's say, ps2?) market.

So every month that goes without GT5 is diminishing its importance.





Current-gen game collection uploaded on the profile, full of win and good games; also most of my PC games. Lucasfilm Games/LucasArts 1982-2008 (Requiescat In Pace).