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So much nonsense in this thread.

  • NextBox wont release until 2012 or 2011 at the earliest.
  • In 3 years the 360 has dropped a total of $100 on the Core/Arcade and Premium.
  • Consoles hit prime sales based on price and the 360 just entered the sub $200 range. 
  • 360 had no Halo or Gears as a launch title so claiming NextBox needs one is foolish.
  • MS doesnt invest in a brand new interface for 360 for just one year.
  • Blu-Ray becomes less of a differentiator as Blu-Ray players continue to get cheaper. Kmart will selling a Sony player for $180 Black Friday weekend.

What will happen with 360 in 2009/2010

  • 40 Million is possible by eoy next year. Especially if 360 continues its improvement in Japan.
  • I expect Gears 3 in 2010.
  • I expect a new Bungie game in 2009 or at the latest 2010. MS surely has right of first refusal.
  • I expect 1 or 2 new Rare games in 2009.
  • I expect Forza 3 to be nurtured and remain hidden until GT5 is unveiled.
  • Just like in 2007 MS did not make a big deal about 2008 titles until 2008.
  • I expect MS will drop price on 360 another $50 when Sony drops price.  Also expect that because of the cost model of HDD drives they will increase no matter what the price is.


Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.