| astrosmash said:
Yes stockholders hate to be misinformed. So how do you reconcile your theory with Nintendo's announcement to their stockholders that as of March 31st 2009 51million units will have been shipped to retail?
Subtract 2.4 million per month and you will see that they most certainly have the stock to get 43.8 million units to retail by December 31 2008. If the demand exists, they almost certainly will use the same strategy as last year and rush delivery of January stock so it arrives in December; if there is the demand, Nintendo can almost certainly sell 45 million by the end of the year.
The thing you seem to be missing in your calculations is that Nintendo has never sold 2.4 million wiis in a month since they announced production had been upped to that. All those units aren't just lost to the wind, they have been stockpiled so they can flood the market this Christmas.
If the wii is sold out everywhere this Xmas expect the frontpage of VGC to say at least 45 million on Jan 1.
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Nintendo's statement is that their part of the supply chain (the beginning) will have 51 million units by the end of March.
Add another two months to that, and you get those units hitting retail. Check your math, Astro. You'll find I'm correct, and so was Reggie, when he stated that production would be 2.4 mil/month throughout the Holiday season.







