I agree with the analysis of the numbers, in that I think the 360 price drop will be more sustainable than the PS3 one. Also, I think it's possible that a good chunk of people who bought the PS3 heard of the price going back up when the 60GB model runs out, since that was widely available news even on sites like Yahoo news.
In regards to comments that Sony dropping the PS3 80GB down to $500 will push it past the 360, I don't understand the logic. There is a rumor that Sony will do that, and it will no doubt help them if they do, but we've also heard rumors that MS intends to lower the price again sometime in November, this time pushing the 360 Premium finally to a acceptable price ($300). If that happens, I don't see how Sony could beat MS in the US. Even though one could make the argument that the $500 PS3 has more value, as the saying goes "Money talks, and bullshit walks". People will look the 360 being priced within what is considered normal for a console, and buy that instead.
I also believe that in terms of selling power, name matters. While the PS3 does have some nice looking games coming out (more appealing to me than most, since I love brand new games and their potential for a new experience and stories), people go with what they know. What we know is that there are millions of people who are ardent fans of Halo and Mario, and there are even more people who have friends who highly recommend those games. The PS3 lacks these games this year. It could have 10 GOTY contenders, but if people haven't heard of it or had it recommended, it won't matter. Look at TV or movies. Alot of the stuff considered to be the best in those mediums weren't big money makers. Critics love the new Battlestar Galactica (94 on Metacritic), but put it up against a dredge of a show like Are you smarter than a 5th grader and guess which one gets slaughtered.
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