Magnific0 said:
I stand by this unrefutable truth:
Microsoft already made their huge move (under $200 X360), and they WON'T have (read CAN'T without mutilating their Games's Division) a price cut in ANY territory until very likely 2010. If during the next 12 months they drop the price of any of their SKUs by as little as $50 it'll be undoubtedly a fire sale, 'cause no one, NONE, would reduce the price of a product as such an alarming fast rate it it wasn't deep in trouble.
However, Sony still has a price-cut move left and I believe they're saving it for next-year when Microsoft won't be able to do nothing of the kind to counter it. MS is definitely expecting to bank hard on this Christmas, specially with Gears of War 2 gracing their holiday lineup. Gears 2 + low hardware price = winning combo, no? We will see January 1st if Microsoft won convincingly this X-mas or if on the contrary, their calculations will cost them an early exit from this generation war.
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Your unrefutable truth is flawed based on history.
October 2000 PS2 launches at $299
May 2002 PS2 price drops to $199. That is 18 months later.
May 2003 PS2 price drops to $179. That is 12 months later.
November 2005 360 launches at $299/$399
August 2007 360 prices drop to $279/$349. That is 22 months later.
September 2008 360 prices drop to $199/$299. That is 13 months later.
So it took the 360 35 months to drop as much as the PS2 dropped in 18 months. Expect the 360 to drop another $50 when the PS3 drops in price late next year. That is if MS feels threatened otherwise see at more modest $20 decrease. Also expect to see HDD drive size increase again simply because the smaller drives become more costly to purchase.
