Squilliam said:
Forza 2 sales are 4 million. Race Driver Grid sales are ~1 million on all platforms. So Forza 3 sales could exceed 5 million so long as they do a good job. Mario Kart will probably have sold 15 million by the time GT5 comes out. Its all competition whether direct or indirect for GT5.
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Forza 2 and GT5:P were both helped quite a bit with bundles. Forza 2 was bundled at the very crucial fall of 07 and stores finally starting selling out around May this year.