Noobie said:
but with 4 weeks sales u will see how hard or slow its sales go down and u can predict how much LTD sales it will have ...
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I don't think you understand how games that benefit highly from word of mouth work.
Games sold on hype open big and drop off regularily every week till sales settle down at a relatively low number. Games built off word of mouth often open small but keep selling regularily, with little or no drop off. (look at wiifit, its still in the top 5 worldwide almost a year after its release)
LBP most certainly has hype, and will without a doubt see its biggest 4 weeks in its first 4 weeks. But what the value of its word of mouth will be remains to be seen. If it is as strong as some predict you may seen many millions sold outside of those first 4 weeks, no matter how high or low those opening sales are. On the other hand, if its word of mouth proves to be weak, then it will likely follow the same arc as other high hype games.
