selnor said:
Zucas said:
MontanaHatchet said:
selnor said:
This is a rather easy question. Gears Of War 2 will probably sell about 8 mill LT. I think by Dec 31 it will have sold 6.3 mill. Fable 2 probably 3 mill and 3rdly R2 2 mill. LBP I expect 1.3 mill with 2.5 mill LT.
Edited post. Just realised that Halo 2 sold 5 mill in 3 weeks.
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Those are some really fanboyish and unrealistic expectations. Gears of War 2 will sell 6.3 million by the end of the year? 8 million lifetime? Are you sure you're not thinking of Halo 3? And your Resistance 2 prediction is laughably low compared to the predictions you made for the other games. LBP is tough to say, but I can't really yell at you for your prediction since your range is so broad and its sales are unpredictable.
Anyways, I'm going to guess Wii Fit, but it really depends on how broad your definition of "holiday season" is.
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Haha ya think which is why I usually ignore them to give them as little credibility as possible. I mean that's suggestive of GTA: San Andreas like openers which is just silly. NOt to mention that low of number for Resistance 2 and LBP and not even a mention of Animal Crossing just makes ya want to laugh at humanity and its flaws. And of course no mention of Wii Fit or MK Wii but oh well haha. I don't think he meant it to be a respectable prediction because if he did it wouldn't be anywhere near these numbers.
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I'll make it easier to understand what I meant. Halo 2 sold 5 mill in 3 weeks worldwide. Gears 1 sold 5 mill when 360 had 8 mill consoles in the market. I have no problem in thinking that Gears 2 could sell 6.3 mill in nearly 8 weeks on over double the userbase it's predecessor had. In regards to R2 I meant 2 mill by December 31st. Probably some good legs and bundles will get it to about 4 mill LT. LBP I feel will probably only do 1.3 mill by Dec 31st. I still feel it's a niche market and only forum hyped. As anyone I talk to who I know has a PS3 has no intention of purchase.
As for Wii games. Yeah I missed those. Probably Wii music will be ther quite high, And depending on advertising Lips (if advertised showing MP3 connection) could sell well to. My Gears 2 prediction isnt as silly as it seems.
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In normal cirumstances they are absolutely silly but given the market increaes lately it is still somewhat probable. Now I don't say that to give you hope but rethinking it there is a slight glimmer of chance below that of the 1 percentile. More realistically though 3 million at Gears 2 lowest and 5 million at it's highest in that timeframe. I cut that tolerance in half but I think I might want to adjust to more around 4-4.5 million for my prediction.
