Wii Less than 4 milllion away

[coasterlove]

HappySqurriel said:

coasterlove said:
@Garnett- We'll see. I prefer the 360 and that's probably the system I would choose to get as my second console to go along with my Wii. I just think that the PS3 will be stronger in Europe by a large margin before it's over. And at some point, the PS3 will do very well in Japan and the sales will pick up. That's why I think the PS3 will eventually take the #2 spot.

kylohk, I'm a Nintendo fanboy so I wouldn't mind if they did get over 50% of the market. They're at over 47% now but I don't think they'll keep up sales to the point where they're outselling PS3 and Xbox 360 combined. I think sometime starting next year, sales will level out a little bit especially as prices drop on all three consoles. The Wii will still be popular and almost always lead in weekly sales but I think it will be more like 40% for the Wii and somewhat divided between the HD consoles with whichever system has the big game or price drop at the moment taking the lead that week.

That's how I looked at it and came to my guess at the percentage. If I had to give actual sales numbers, I'd guess-

Wii 110 Million
PS3 73 Million
Xbox 360 60 Million

 

Being that the PS3 and XBox 360 are designed to appeal to the core gamers and technophiles who are (far) more likely to be early adopters, why would these consoles see such high sales with the non-early adopter crowd? At the same time, the Wii is designed to appeal to people who are not the most dedicated of gamers, so as its price drops and it becomes more attractive to these gamers why would its sales drop off?

I feel you're right about the Xbox 360 but the Sony Playstation is a huge namebrand for well over a decade now. Both previous Playstation consoles sold well over 100 million and I don't see the Playstation brand dropping so far that it couldn't do somewhere in the range of my guess (73 million). I just don't see it dropping off that fast. And with the sales of the PS and PS2 both over 100 million, there must have been a lot of casual gamers who bought it. I think the same thing will happen as they won't completely ignore the PS3.

 

And any system that is successful and around for a few years always sells consoles over the life of it's cycle. So while early adopters may have bought the PS3 or 360 already, there are many who are waiting for further price drops. Many people don't want to pay more than $400 for a console. The 360 has dropped to a reasonable price and has seen an increase in sales. The same will happen to the PS3 when they get down to a similar price range.

 

About the Wii, I don't see a sales drop so much as it's more a matter of it saturating the market. There are only so many people interested in getting a video game console so at some point, the sales will slow slightly. I just feel that the other two systems will also sell more closing the gap slightly and that's why the Wii won't get over 50%. It's just my opinion and I could very well be wrong. The actual numbers I gave were just a guess and I don't in any way rule out the Wii selling more than my guess. Afterall, it was just a guess. Maybe they reach 150 million and I definitely won't mind.