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Considering Orange Box sold at least 2 million on PC, I'd wager just under 3 million easy for PC. 

Steam brings in constant sales with no worries about restocking shelves, and there will be big content updates like with TF2...and they will bring those updates to 360 more often as well.



LEFT4DEAD411.COM
Bet with disolitude: Left4Dead will have a higher Metacritic rating than Project Origin, 3 months after the second game's release.  (hasn't been 3 months but it looks like I won :-p )