Hus on 12 August 2007
| TheSource said: Hus look at this way - Wii is selling anywhere from 2-4 times faster than 360 each week, and it still took 9 months to pass 360. When most PS3s cost $400, I expect PS3 to sell consistantly at ~1.3 to 1.5 times faster than Xbox 360. But at launch, PS3 was 5-6 million behind 360. Given the USA Core price ($279), and sales in the UK, France, Ireland, Australia and Canada, I expect the 360 lead to extend to a peak of 7 million this December 31. After that PS3 will slowly but steadily cut into the 360 lead, selling worse in the USA and Canada for a while (Americans are price conscious, and there are some signs a recession will be coming soon), until it reaches $300/$400, but outselling 360 in Europe/Others and Japan throughout comparable time periods. Given that the lead will be 7 million through December 31, 2007, and that Wii outsold 360 2x faster than PS3 will outsell 360, PS3 will need at least 18 months - starting in 2008 (since it took Wii 9 months) to catch Xbox 360. However, since 360 will likely be at least partly mass-market price sometime in 2009 ($250/$200/$150 is my guess), the catch up may get delayed into early 2010. Still, I expect it to happen because 360 can't come in second selling in 1.5 out of 3 markets when PS3 will sell in 2.5 out of 3 markets. |
See i dont think 360 will gain anything this xmas, they will lose it. Jan 1 360 lead will be down to 5 million and will deteriorate fast in 08
360 will not out sale the PS3 in those markets, 360 will get better sales only in USA and Canada.
Right now PS3 is selling double in Europe and usualy 4/5 times more in Japan, any decent JPN release skyrockets the sales to 10 times that of 360
What do you see channging this.
And what your xmas breakdown per market ? (maybe a new thread for this ?)
