Could PS3 top Xbox 360 by this Christmas?

[KBG29]

For weekly sales;

Europe - it should be close to 2:1 once the big rush gets under way.

USA - My guess is PS3 will do between 80 and 90% of what 360 does.

Japan - PS3 will take over next week, 360 should come back for TLR, and then the PS3 should come back for sure by WKC. It is tough to say who will sell more in this region overall for the rest of the year.

Lifetime:

PS3 has 0% to take the LTD sales of the 360 this year. Even if a miricale happened and PS3 became the must have gift this year, Sony does not produce enough units to make that possible.

My PS3/360 year out prediction:

I expect the PS3 to outsell the 360 by 10 - 25% worldwide. I think that both will be very close in the US. if the 360's best week in America is 500k, I would expect PS3 sales to be at the least 400k. In Europe I think the PS3 will be very close to double the 360 sales. I would guess the peak week will see 360 @ 320k and PS3 @ 600k +. In japan I don't think either console has a line-up strong enough to dominate the other. The only guess I can thow out is that Japan will buy PS3 due to name brand and country loyalty. Perhapps that would be enough to keep things tight around the TLR launch.

In any case here is what I think the peak week will look like;

360 PS3
USA - 500k 400k
Eu - 320k 600k
Japan - 50k 80k
Total - 870k 1.08M

So PS3 over 360 by 15%.