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I'm saying 1-1.5m

This is because LBP will give a hardware boost, though not huge, I would expect US sales to be up 30k next week, and probably a similar boost in Europe when LBP is released there as well. In the US, I think the PS3 can just have the edge due to the three big hitters, as LBP will have fantastic legs through the holidays. The 360 has just had its price cut, and it can barely beat the PS3 (though it will win this week because of Fable II) and Sony has bigger hitters this holiday season. The big difference will be in others, where Motostorm will have a much bigger effect, and as the big multi-platform games such as Need for Speed and Call of Duty drive hardware, in Europe people will choose the PS3 because of free online and brand recognition. In Japan the PES bundle will help, but WKS will be the real boost in December

Overall, a lot of wishful thinking, but I do think the PS3 will beat the 360 this holiday, and the 360 will probably sell about 3.5-4m and the PS3 will sell 5-5.5m