Chubear: You state that thermal must be too young to remember videogame history, but I don't really see how your analysis is based in console history at all.
At what point in history did a console ever sell as well as the Wii only to completely collapse two or three years later? This isn't anything like the Dreamcast, Gamecube or N64. 10 Months later the Wii is still blazing, with the major games not even out yet. And Nintendo's console history does nothing to suggest a "Wii lite"
Your Xbox statements start out right. In that the 360's hardware malfunction rate is a trainwreck, and it's seriously hurt the brand and it's sales numbers. But why would Microsoft leave hardware for Software when Hardware is the whole point of the venture? Also, how would making false announcements about an Xbox 3 be a good thing? Has any gaming company ever lied about making new consoles when they're on their last one? I don't think there was ever announcements of an Atari Jaguar 2, Neo Geo 2, Sega Dreamcast 2 or the like.
Back to Wii - How has Nintendo's strategy just been to stay alive with low processing power? The Wii is the first Nintendo console ever to not compete on a graphics level. And It's easy to understand why they did it this time around. But they'll enter the next gen with a strong brandname and a lot of cash. Everything would point to another system that can compete in the graphics arena just like the NES, SNES, N64 and Gamecube.
And Finally, the PS3. I can think of a lot of reasons that the PS3 won't hit the 100 Million range. But the biggest reason is the competition. The 360 will finish this gen in considerably better shape than the original Xbox, and the Wii is selling at a phenomonally higher rate than the Cube or N64. That's got to eat Somebodies market share!
I'm a mod, come to me if there's mod'n to do.
Chrizum is the best thing to happen to the internet, Period.
Serves me right for challenging his sales predictions!
Bet with dsisister44: Red Steel 2 will sell 1 million within it's first 365 days of sales.
