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Oyvoyvoyv said:

The thing with DSi, is that multiple things may happen.

We all know that Japan doesn't tend to have multiple SKUs of a system selling. The DS phat only sold less than 500K after the DSi launched. So, I see these being the possible scenarios.

1) The DSi takes a lot of PsP buyers, and the DSL keeps going strong. Both selling equally.

2) The DSi is a sequel to the DSL, the DSL pretty much dies by the start of next year.

3) The DSi is simply too high priced compared to its quality, and simply becomes a third machine. Psp, DS, or DSi? Which to buy?

 

For the size of the launch, the above doesn't really matter. It's bound to sell at least 150K, and will probably manage 250-300K, in form with Nintendo's predictions.

 

I'm going with 2. I honestly think that the DSi will be ridiculous in Japan - many people will buy it to replace the DS they already own.

350k first week, 1.75M by the end of year.