| HappySqurriel said: The PS2 (the fastest selling and most successful console ever) has sold 26 Million units since the beginning of 2006, and with how rapidly sales are dropping off it is (probably) not going to make it to 40 Million consoles in the post-generation years; and third party support fell off (well) over a year ago and there is still over 2 years remaining until the PS2 hits its 10th birthday. With how the PS3 has sold to date there is no reason to expect it to sell as well as the PS2 for as long as the PS2 has after this generation ends, and for third party support to be as strong as it was for the PS2 for as long as it was with the PS2; in other words, don't expect a "10 year lifecycle" to traslate into decent sales much past the 5th or 6th birthday for the PS3. Another problem the PS3 will face if it simply tries to outlive the XBox 360 is the XBox 360 will continue to see multiplatform releases as long as the PS3 survives. EA, Activision, Ubisoft, Sega, Capcom and pretty much every major publisher will (likely) limit the risk of PS3 game development by spreading the releases to as many consoles as possible, and this would include the existing XBox 360 as well as (enhanced) releases to any new consoles that are popular enough. This means that a even after the XBox 360 is "replaced" by an enhanced system it will still have value that if it is inexpensive enough ($100) and has a large enough price advantage ($50+) it could sell enough to prevent the PS3 from passing it in total sales.
This isn't saying that the PS3 can't or won't outsell the XBox 360, just that it will take a lot more than a "10 year lifecycle" to accomplish it. |
True, but Microsoft has to be willing to keep the 360 around for as long as the PS3 lives.
Can you at least guarantee that will be the case?
