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I'll copy/paste my reply from another thread...

As for Japan, you can see the PS3 numbers go down because of two reasons: A season in which Japan doesn't sell much HW (PSP's nice though), and the foreboding for the release of the PS3 80 GB is Japan - which screwed up its sales pretty much like the price drop announcment by MS, the latest one, which dropped the 360 to 1k on that week, only to shoot for the stars with 30k in the next. Expect something similar with the PS3.

You worry early.