seece said:
TWRoO said:
I think what we can gather is that, on average, everyone predicts way too low.
Most of the predictions in that thread were 40m or lower for Wii (I didn't check them all, but only 2 I saw were above 46 million, which is a prediction still within reason now) most were lower than 20m for PS3, with a few giving 22m+... and most 360 predictions were below 24 million.
This is what is in my profile.... the top predictions made in January (a few weeks before that thread) and you can see my editions in May and September (for the record my current prediction is pretty similar to the September one, except add 2.5 million and 1.5 million onto DS ad X360 respectively)
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Prediction for LTD end of 2008 (made in January 2008)
DS: 93 million
Wii: 46 million
PSP: 39 million
360: 23 million
PS3 19 million
Updated prediction (May 2008)
DS: 89 million
Wii: 44 million
PSP: 41 million
360: 24 million
PS3: 21 million
Updated prediction (Sept 2008)
DS: 94 million
Wii: 45 million
PSP: 44 million
360: 25 million
PS3: 21 million
==============================
As you can see, I have had to update X360 each time, and the same for PSP but with larger numbers... The DS was revised down then back up due to the Japan slowdown, and then my realisation that Europe has held up Japan's slack.... My Wii prediction went down and up too, though stayed similar enough to be consistant. And my PS3 prediction was initially too low, but rectifyed in May.
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Do you still agree with those predictions?
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As I said, I am still in agreement with them except DS and X360, for which I would add 2.5 and 1.5 million to.
So current projection:
DS: 96.5 million
Wii: 45 million
PSP: 44 million (actually I suspect I could add .5 million to this perhaps)
360: 26.5 million
PS3: 21 million
