I've been paying atention to console sales predictions......come on people!

[HappySqurriel]

Millennium said:

tuoyo said:

Millennium said:
As it stands, the Wii currently makes just under 2 million Wiis per month, and the November boost will bring that number to just over 2 million; the average over these three months will probably be just about in the 2 million range. Thus, I predict 37-38 million sold by the end of the year: 2 million per month for the next 2.5 months.

 No way in hell is Nintendo going to sell that little over the next 2.5 months.  Both retailers and Nintendo would have been stockpiling for the holiday season and the Wiis available will be way in excess of your figures.

Then where are they getting their stockpiles? Over time, Wii sales have been averaging basically what Nintendo says it can produce. This leaves nothing left over to build a stockpile.

There is a painful truth that has to be dealt with here: Nintendo cannot sell a Wii that has not been built. Neither can Sony and MS, of course, but Nintendo seems to be running into this problem a lot more often these days.

 

Nintendo had the same problem last year, and had a lower manufacturing capacity, and yet still was able to sell more systems last year than you think they can sell this year.