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superchunk said:
People keep saying that it can't possibly happen ever. They throw out sales numbers that show 600k per month needed,etc. But, many of you seem to have forgotten what just happened with the Wii.

The Wii was also about 5.3m behind the 360 at launch. Now, 9 months later, the Wii is about to pass 360 in total sales. The PS3 is now about 6.2m units behind, given the right combination of demand, it can pass the 360, just like the Wii did. That is why I am saying 65% chance. It will require the games and price to hit the sweet spot for the millions of gamers out there who still have not purchased any nex-gen machine.

The question is can it? Can the PS3 get to the $250 price area at the same time as its probably 2008 killer aps launch? I don't think so. Which is why I lean towards 360 maintaining its lead over PS3. But, I guess we will eventually know.

It would be tough just because the Wii is already clearing out the 250, single console buying consumer market and they both are clearing out the single and double console buying market below the PS3's price.

 Unless these people are waiting for the PS3 to be cheaper and not buying the other systems it's going to be really tough to get that much momentum.  I don't think they do.  That's why the cheapo systems always seem to win in my opinion.