The Sales Cross Over: It's Real. What are the implications industry wide?

[Dodece]

I would rather wait and see the results from Microsofts price cuts. I would never have predicted the spike Sony saw with their price cut. The machine was still rather expensive. However the speculation was that there would be a price drop this year for that system. The speculation about the price drop was the same for Microsoft. Everyone expected the prices to get cut.

Further more interested consumers are not early adopters. Those who want one of the high end machines have had nine months to educate themselves. They have had a chance to hang back and see where the market is going. So they can make the better decision. Now they have the price cut, and they have a understanding of the market. The drop was a long time coming as was this years line up.

I will say that I would not be shocked if those three factors combined, the price drop, the line up, the failures of Sony. Well I would not be surprised if the sales did not quadruple in the Americas. I would not use Sony as a guide post in this situation even if it were recent. Microsoft has a better price point, has better games in the near term, and has maintained a stable trend through the year. Now if Sony can double or even triple sales in the short term with no great selling points I think Microsoft could do better. Consumers are lined up waiting for prices to drop. I just think there were more in the Microsoft line. We will have to see.