Just_Ben said:
Bodhesatva said:
superchunk said:
People keep saying that it can't possibly happen ever. They throw out sales numbers that show 600k per month needed,etc. But, what everyone of you that say this definite is that you forgot what just happened with the Wii.
The Wii was also about 5.3m behind the 360 at launch. Now, 9 months later, the Wii is about to pass 360 in total sales. The PS3 is now about 6.2m units behind, given the right combination of demand, it can pass the 360, just like the Wii did. That is why I am saying 65% chance. It will require the games and price to hit the sweet spot for the millions of gamers out there who still have not purchased any nex-gen machine.
The question is can it? Can the PS3 get to the $250 price area at the same time as its probably 2008 killer aps launch? I don't think so. Which is why I lean towards 360 maintaining its lead over PS3. But, I guess we will eventually know. |
Is anyone actually saying it's literally impossible? I think most are jsut saying it's improbable. That's what I'm saying, at least, and that's different. Another question: does anyone here believe the PS3 will ever surpass the 360 in the US? If the odds of the PS3 surpassing the 360 are 50/50 worldwide (That's my opinion, at least), then I think the odds of a US eclipse are around 15/85 against. |
I think the 360 will have slightly more units sold in the US than the PS3 in the end. It will be a close race, if the PS3 ever (ever) bypass the 360 in the US it not before 2010, more likley 2012. I just think, a lot of people understemating the PS3 in Europe. The time it hit the 400 € or 300€ price point, i have not a big doubt it can get significantly (60 k / week). It sells around 35 k / week at the moment, with lets say, not so big games (at the moment). I will not buy a PS3 but the guys i know wanting one the price they are willing to pay is 400€/300€. Another thing people seem to forget is the PS3 hadn't had a Christmas in Europe yet. Christmas is the only time a lot of people have the money for buying such expensive "extras". The X-Box will have its second and a half Christmas this year. If the PS3 has a price cut to 500€ before Christmas, i see the PS3 outselling the 360 more than 2:1 in others this Christmas. But thats just my opinion. |
