| marc said: I think it will be very close when all is said and done. I generally use the snowball theory when it comes to console sales. Once the ball gets rolling it gets bigger and bigger and in the case of the PS3 vs the 360 what we have is the 360 with a demanding lead in the USA & vise versa in Japan. Here is what I think will happen. As we all know most game devs are either in Japan or the US (not taking anything away from the others just stating where the majority are located). We also know the 360 will never win in Japan so devs over there have it pretty cut and dry, they will make games for the Wii and PS3. In America however devs will have a dilema. I seriously doubt that the PS3 will ever overtake the 360 in the USA. I think that the 360's lead should only increase in America and I think the current deflation in PS3 sales despite the recent price drop is a good indicator of that. It looks like the PS3 sales will continue to drop while the 360 has been very consistent despite all the problems the 360 is having in terms of reliability and reputation. If the 360 does indeed become dominant in the USA we will start seeing a divide in cross-cultural games which will then further increase the 360's lead over time making up for the lost sales in Japan. American devs will probably make games for the US 360 because in general their games dont do as well in Japan anyway so they need to capitalize on their strongest market. The end result is we will have a situation like what happened with the Saturn which actually did ok in Japan and gave them a lot of great Japanese games that unfortunately never made to the USA (I still want some of those games...). I fear that this is probably what will happen this generation only even more extreme. We will have a lot more Japanese games on the PS3 that will never make it to the US and a lot of English games on the 360 that will never make it to Japan. I actually hope this wont happen but my spider sense tells me that we are already headed that way. |
no they'll make game for the most profitable suport..... they don't care if the market is bigger in their homeland... they one to make as muchcash as possible that's it..... but I see where you are coming from and where you're going with that.... especially with your saturn example I agree on that... I'm just saying for big licence they'll choose what's more interesting for them..... if PS3 crashes overall you could see FF14 coming to WII or XB (big unprobable hypothesis but it's to illustrate my exemple) there is no interest on staying somewhere where they couldn't cover their cost of dev... what you are saying might be true for the WII but the WII is working world wide so I don't think you'll see the title on that platform staying in JAPAN only..... if PS3 is behind by much they'll dev for XB even if it's smaller in japan... profit is their interest... not pleasing the owners of the favorite console of their home country....
