Predictions
Here are 3 tables with the weeks and predictions people make (I will add a column for anyone brave enough to predict the full set)
Anyone predicting please post your predictions for each of the 10 weeks (for whichever console you wish) before the first weeks set of data starts appearing (likely 3rd or 4th November) This gives you time to check out each of the companies fiscal reports for the past quarter, which are all due out at the end of October, these may help in estimating how many consoles the big three expect to be shipping during the quarter. You can edit your predictions up until the first weeks data comes in, but after that they will remain.
Wii table 1
Week ending |
Equivalent for 2007 |
Prediction TWRoO |
Prediction Darth |
Prediction Oyvoyv |
Prediction Veggie |
Prediction DMeisterJ |
Original VGC figure |
Final Adjustment |
Nov 1 | 293k | 450k | 415k | 470k | 490k | 400k | 486,409 | 485,528 |
Nov 8 | 280k | 430k | 410k | 450k | 420k | 450k | 527,317 | 554,462 |
Nov 15 | 457k | 520k | 450k | 600k | 600k | 500k | 603,408 | 649,259 |
Nov 22 | **669k | 650k | 515k | 610k | 650k | 550k | 784,777 | 788,612 |
Nov 29 | 685k | 1,050k | 1,470k | 1,550k | 1,000k | 1,000k | 1,365,476 | 1,295,638 |
Dec 6 | 719k | 1,100k | 1,050k | 1,150k | 1,100k | 1,200k | 1,178,793 | 1,019,940 |
Dec 13 | 678k | 1,450k | 1,300k | 1,320k | 1,300k | 1,550k | 1,478,813 | 1,239,247 |
Dec 20 | 1,464k | 2,200k | 2,500k | 2,320k | 1,700k | 2,100k | 1,838,350 | 1,782,904 |
Dec 27 | 722k | 1,950k | 1,700k | 1,900k | 2,000k | 2,450k | 1,535,755 | 1,201,867 |
Jan 3 | 455k | 1,000k | 750k | 850k | 900k | 1,050k | 741,196 | 653,529 |
Total | 6,422k | 10,800k | 10,560k | 11,220k | 10,260k | 11,250k | - | - |
Wii table 2
Week ending |
Equivalent for 2007 |
Prediction Zucas |
Prediction skeezer |
Prediction BHR-3 |
Original VGC figure |
Final Adjustment |
Nov 1 | 293k | 400k | 450k | 485k | 486,409 | 485,528 |
Nov 8 | 280k | 450k | 427k | 495k | 527,317 | 554,462 |
Nov 15 | 457k | 500k | 575k | 560k | 603,408 | 649,259 |
Nov 22 | **669k | 550k | 841k | 650k | 784,777 | 788,612 |
Nov 29 | 685k | 1,050k | 863k | 1,350k | 1,365,476 | 1,295,638 |
Dec 6 | 719k | 1,000k | 905k | 1,400k | 1,178,793 | 1,019,940 |
Dec 13 | 678k | 1,550k | 1,050k | 1,500k | 1,478,813 | 1,239,247 |
Dec 20 | 1,464k | 2,250k | 2,050k | 1,910k | 1,838,350 | 1,782,904 |
Dec 27 | 722k | 1,400k | 1,800k | 1,000k | 1,535,755 | 1,201,867 |
Jan 3 | 455k | 650k | 1,050k | 700k | 741,196 | 653,529 |
Total | 6,422k | 9,800k | 10,011k | 10,050k | - | - |
**Black Friday week last year... this year it is the week after. (the one I have the big jump up to 1,050k)
PS3 table 1
Week ending |
Equivalent for 2007 |
Prediction TWRoO |
Prediction Darth |
Prediction Oyvoyv |
Prediction Veggie |
Prediction DMeisterJ |
Original VGC figure |
Final Adjustment |
Nov 1 | 159k | 180k | 210k | 300k | 200k | 270k | 192,229 | 193,957 |
Nov 8 | 229k | 220k | 300k | 350k | 240k | 330k | 209,239 | 192,398 |
Nov 15 | 246k | 280k | 310k | 400k | 300k | 350k | 210,406 | 207,560 |
Nov 22 | **360k | 350k | 450k | 450k | 330k | 400k | 240,184 | 236,827 |
Nov 29 | 370k | 520k | 510k | 550k | 500k | 570k | 402,641 | 388,627 |
Dec 6 | 448k | 550k | 650k | 650k | 510k | 600k |
349,949 |
359,010 |
Dec 13 | 546k | 700k | 720k | 750k | 600k | 700k | 415,754 | 430,370 |
Dec 20 | 622k | 950k | 800k | 800k | 800k | 750k | 524,368 | 517,381 |
Dec 27 | 404k | 750k | 950k | 750k | 900k | 850k | 466,837 | 474,530 |
Jan 3 | 303k | 400k | 600k | 550k | 400k | 550k | 260,862 | 331,245 |
Total | 3,687k | 4,900k | 5,500k | 5,450k | 4,780k | 5,370k | - | - |
PS3 table 2
Week ending |
Equivalent for 2007 |
Prediction Zucas |
Prediction Skeezer |
Prediction BHR-3 |
Original VGC figure |
Final Adjustment |
Nov 1 | 159k | 225k | 200k | 180k | 192,229 | 193,957 |
Nov 8 | 229k | 350k | 288k | 230k | 209,239 | 192,398 |
Nov 15 | 246k | 350k | 309k | 250k | 210,406 | 207,560 |
Nov 22 | **360k | 375k | 452k | 350k | 240,184 | 236,827 |
Nov 29 | 370k | 550k | 500k | 560k | 402,641 | 388,627 |
Dec 6 | 448k | 500k | 590k | 500k | 349,949 | 359,010 |
Dec 13 | 546k | 550k | 710k | 700k | 415,754 | 430,370 |
Dec 20 | 622k | 850k | 825k | 1,000k | 524,368 | 517,381 |
Dec 27 | 404k | 500k | 925k | 615k | 466,837 | 474,530 |
Jan 3 | 303k | 400k | 520k | 320k | 260,862 | 331,245 |
Total | 3,687k | 4,650k | 5,319k | 4,705k | - | - |
**Black Friday week last year... this year it is the week after. (the one I have the big jump up to 520k)
X360 table 1
Week ending |
Equivalent for 2007 |
Prediction TWRoO |
Prediction Darth |
Prediction Oyvoyv |
Prediction Veggie |
Prediction DMeisterJ |
Original VGC figure |
Final Adjustment |
Nov 1 | 197k | 200k | 270k | 250k | 200k | 250k | 198,124 | 213,639 |
Nov 8 | 197k | 300k | 300k | 310k | 230k | 300k | 255,371 | 271,741 |
Nov 15 | 237k | 300k | 350k | 370k | 300k | 330k | 279,518 | 307,093 |
Nov 22 | **360k | 300k | 350k | 430k | 300k | 350k | 435,625 | 405,422 |
Nov 29 | 346k | 550k | 480k | 480k | 480k | 520k | 800,140 | 724,925 |
Dec 6 | 427k | 500k | 500k | 540k | 500k | 570k | 645,749 | 584,128 |
Dec 13 | 510k | 600k | 600k | 600k | 650k | 620k | 739,922 | 682,112 |
Dec 20 | 590k | 850k | 650k | 720k | 700k | 690k | 931,999 | 879,493 |
Dec 27 | 330k | 800k | 700k | 660k | 800k | 780k | 784,969 | 735,500 |
Jan 3 | 222k | 350k | 300k | 560k | 300k | 240k | 341,994 | 377,957 |
Total | 3,416k | 4,750k | 4,500k | 4,820k | 4,460k | 4,650k | - | - |
X360 table 2
Week ending |
Equivalent for 2007 |
Prediction Zucas |
Prediction Skeezer |
Prediction BHR-3 |
Original VGC figure |
Final Adjustment |
Nov 1 | 197k | 200k | 210k | 175k | 198,124 | 213,639 |
Nov 8 | 197k | 350k | 220k | 190k | 255,371 | 271,741 |
Nov 15 | 237k | 300k | 300k | 280k | 279,518 | 307,093 |
Nov 22 | **360k | 350k | 425k | 365k | 435,625 | 405,422 |
Nov 29 | 346k | 500k | 450k | 555k | 800,140 | 724,925 |
Dec 6 | 427k | 450k | 520k | 480k | 645,749 | 584,128 |
Dec 13 | 510k | 550k | 670k | 600k | 739,922 | 682,112 |
Dec 20 | 590k | 800k | 727k | 700k | 931,999 | 879,493 |
Dec 27 | 330k | 500k | 800k | 550k | 784,969 | 735,500 |
Jan 3 | 222k | 300k | 400k | 260k | 341,994 | 377,957 |
Total | 3,416k | 4,300k | 4,722k | 4,115k | - | - |
**Black Friday week last year... this year it is the week after. (the one I have the big jump up to 550k)
Additional predictions.
Here I will add any simpler predictions for those who don't want to spend time and effort for the whole 10 weeks.
Table 1 Prediction type |
equiv' for 2007 |
Prediction TWRoO |
Prediction Darth |
Prediction Oyvoyv |
Prediction Veggie |
Prediction DMeisterJ |
Original VGC |
Final Adjustment |
Full 10 weeks - Wii | 6,422k | 10,800k | 10,560k | 11,220k | 10,260k | 11,250k | 10,540,294 | 9,671,166 |
Full 10 weeks - PS3 | 3,687k | 4,900k | 5,500k | 5,450k | 4,780k | 5,370k | 3,272,469 | 3,331,905 |
Full 10 weeks - 360 | 3,416k | 4,750k | 4,500k | 4,820k | 4,460k | 4,650k | 5,413,411 | 5,182,010 |
Best week - Wii | 1,464k | 2,200k | 2,500k | 2,220k | 2,000k | 2,450k | 1,838,350 | 1,782,904 |
Best week -PS3 | 622k | 950k | 950k | 800k | 900k | 850k | 524,368 | 517,381 |
Best week -360 | 590k | 850k | 700k | 720k | 800k | 780k | 931,999 | 879,493 |
Table 2 Prediction type |
equiv' for 2007 |
Prediction Zucas |
Prediction Skeezer |
Prediction BHR-3 |
Original VGC |
Final Adjustment |
Full 10 weeks - Wii | 6,422k | 9,800k | 10,011k | 10,050k | 10,540,294 | 9,671,166 |
Full 10 weeks - PS3 | 3,687k | 4,650k | 5,319k | 4,665k | 3,272,469 | 3,331,905 |
Full 10 weeks - 360 | 3,416k | 4,300k | 4,722k | 4,115k | 5,413,411 | 5,182,010 |
Best week - Wii | 1,464k | 2,250k | 2,050k | 1,910k | 1,838,350 | 1,782,904 |
Best week -PS3 | 622k | 850k | 925k | 1,000k | 524,368 | 517,381 |
Best week -360 | 590k | 800k | 800k | 700k | 931,999 | 879,493 |