To make a prediction about the last 10 weeks sales, scroll down to the second post and check out others predictions, then post your own and I will add it in.
You can also make a prediction bet for what the total sales of each console will be at the end of the year in the prediction league. If you make a mistake you can PM nordlead if you wish to edit them before November 3rd.
No more predictions accepted
Last year Shams did a 10 week countdown with a discussion on the last weeks of the year and some predictions on how each week would pan out. This year I am extending it to include more for the PS3 and Xbox 360.
Basically this thread can be a discussion about what we all expect for the last ten weeks of the year, and anyone willing can make a prediction for the run of weeks. (see next post for how to make predictions)
The way the weeks lay this year is a little odd, as what I am classing as the last week will span into the new year (week ending January 3rd) here is some information on the weeks and what lies in them. (keep in mind that the "week ending" date refer to the Saturday, which is when tracking weeks end for America and Europe, but Japan tracking ends on a Sunday)
| Week ending |
Additional info |
Important Games (Wii) |
Important Games (PS3) |
Important Games (X360) |
| 1st Nov | 80GB PS3 becomes available for Japan. | US - Guitar Hero:WT EU - 007:QoS |
US - GH:WT + Fallout 3 + LBP EU - 007:QoS + LBP JPN - LBP + GTAIV |
US - GH:WT + Fallout 3 EU - 007:QoS JPN - GTAIV |
| 8th Nov | US - 007:QoS | US - 007:QoS + Res2 EU - MotorstormPR |
US - 007:QoS + GeOW2 EU - GeOW2 |
|
| 15th Nov |
US - CoD:WaW +SW:CloneWars |
US - CoD:WaW EU - CoD:WaW |
US - BanjoK + CoD:WaW EU - BanjoK + CoD:WaW |
|
| 22nd Nov | US - AC:CF + Sonic Unleashed EU - NFS:Undercover JPN - AC:City Folk |
EU - NFS:U | US - Left4D EU - Left4D + NFS:U |
|
| 29th Nov | Includes Black Friday for USA |
EU - Res2 JPN - PES 2009 |
JPN - PES 2009 | |
| 6th Dec | EU - AC:City Folk | |||
| 13th Dec | ||||
| 20th Dec | Last Full week before Christmas Day |
|||
| 27th Dec | Includes the biggest worldwide shopping days of the year |
JPN:White Knight Chronicles | ||
| 3rd Jan | Spanning the New year, Japan will unusually be a much bigger part than usual. |
If anyone wants to add any other information or games releasing that you think may affect the sales please post.
Sales comparisons to help anyone wanting to make a prediction.
| Period | Wii | PS3 | X360 |
| w/e Jan6th - Sep29th. 2007 (Q1-Q3) |
9,250,182
|
3,695,469
|
3,915,434
|
| last 10 weeks. 2007 | 6,280,772 | 3,543,846 | 3,367,486 |
| equivalent* 10 weeks. 2007 | 6,421,253 | 3,685,851 | 3,415,431 |
| w/e Jan5th - Sep27th. 2008 (Q1-Q3) |
13,579,284 | 6,784,593 | 5,291,216 |
*equivalent weeks correspond better to this years last 10 weeks, they are 10 weeks ending Jan 5th rather than Dec 29th)
Rankings (Console and Overall)
(see next post for the predictions these scores refer to)
Click here to see the in depth console breakdown.
The lower the score the better.
| Rank | Wii Predictor |
Wii Points |
PS3 Predictor |
PS3 Points |
X360 Predictor |
X360 Points |
Total Predictor |
Total Points |
| 1 | BHR-3 | 92 |
BHR-3 | 370 | Skeezer | 136 | BHR-3 | 663 |
| 2 | Oyvoyvoyv | 127 |
Veggie | 407 | TWRoO | 137 | Veggie | 704 |
| 3 | Veggie | 139 | TWRoO | 437 | Veggie | 158 | TWRoO | 738 |
| 4 | Zucas | 161 |
Zucas | 438 | DMeisterJ | 196 | Zucas |
816 |
| 5 |
TWRoO |
164 |
Skeezer |
592 | BHR-3 | 201 | Skeezer | 922 |
| 6 | DarthDevidem | 170 | DMeisterJ | 644 | Zucas | 217 | DarthDevidem | 1054 |
| 7 | Skeezer | 205 | DarthDevidem | 655 | DarthDevidem | 229 | DMeisterJ | 1062 |
| 8 | DMeisterJ | 222 |
Oyvoyvoyv | 723 | Oyvoyvoyv | 254 | Oyvoyvoyv | 1104 |
Click here to see the in depth weekly breakdown.
| Rank | Week 1 Predictor |
Week 1 Points |
Week 2 Predictor |
Week 2 Points |
Week 3 Predictor |
Week 3 Points |
Week 4 Predictor |
Week 4 Points |
Week 5 Predictor |
Week 5 Points |
| 1 | Veggie | 4 | TWRoO | 40 (=) | BHR-3 | 25 | BHR-3 | 78 | BHR-3 | 70 |
| 2 | TWRoO | 13 | BHR-3 | 40 (=) | Veggie | 49 | Veggie | 85 | DarthDev | 73 |
| 3 | Skeezer | 16 | Veggie | 43 | TWRoO | 53 | TWRoO | 93 | TWRoO | 83 |
| 4 | BHR-3 | 17 | Skeezer | 69 | Skeezer | 57 | Skeezer | 97 | Oyvoyv | 89 |
| 5 | Zucas | 34 | DarthDev | 82 | Zucas | 90 | Zucas | 104 | Veggie | 90 |
| 6 | DarthDev | 59 | DMeisterJ | 88 | DarthDev | 97 | Oyvoyv | 110 | Zucas | 96 |
| 7 | DMeisterJ | 83 | Oyvoyv | 102 | DMeisterJ | 101 | DMeisterJ | 114 | DMeisterJ | 102 |
| 8 | Oyvoyv | 85 | Zucas | 118 | Oyvoyv | 122 | DarthDev | 140 | Skeezer | 105 |
| Rank | Week 6 Predictor |
Week 6 Points |
Week 7 Predictor |
Week 7 Points |
Week 8 Predictor |
Week 8 Points |
Week 9 Predictor |
Week 9 Points |
Week 10 Predictor |
Week 10 Points |
| 1 | Veggie | 73 | Zucas | 61 | DMeisterJ | 82 | Zucas | 51 | BHR-3 | 50 |
| 2 | DMeisterJ | 83 | Veggie | 68 | Veggie | 83 | TWRoO | 87 | Zucas | 77 |
| 3 | BHR-3 | 85 (=) | BHR-3 | 87 (=) | Skeezer | 89 | BHR-3 | 94 | Veggie | 86 |
| 4 | TWRoO | 85 (=) | TWRoO | 87 (=) | Zucas | 98 | Oyvoyv | 98 | TWRoO | 89 |
| 5 | Zucas | 87 | DMeisterJ | 88 | Oyvoyv | 100 | Skeezer | 116 | DarthDev | 143 |
| 6 | Oyvoyv | 103 | DarthDev | 103 | TWRoO | 108 | Veggie | 123 (=) | Skeezer | 156 |
| 7 | Skeezer | 110 | Skeezer | 107 | BHR-3 | 117 (=) | DarthDev | 123 (=) | DMeisterJ | 180 |
| 8 | DarthDev | 117 | Oyvoyv | 108 | DarthDev | 117 (=) | DMeisterJ | 141 | Oyvoyv | 187 |
