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mrstickball said:
In comparing NPD to VGC (assuming that NPD was/is right):

Big Winners (VGC was great on):

PS3
PSP
WiiFit
Mercs 2 X360

Big Losers:
Wii
DS
Star Wars: TFU
MKWii

Ultimately, VGC loses out yet again versus casual titles that are hard to track sales trends for.

Unfortunately casual and some mainstream games are very complicated when it comes to trends while core games are very easy.  I have a general idea of how they'll sell but their are just too many trends to suggest what each will go on.