XBOX 360 at 1,000,000 before end of year in Japan

[Millennium]

KillaKB said:

Millennium said:
At first glance I thought this sounded pretty reasonable: only about 25,000 a week for the next ten weeks.

That was until I looked at the charts. In reality, 25,000 a week is only slightly less than the 360's all-time best week in Japan, and again, that kind of demand would have to be sustained for the next ten weeks. I don't think it will manage.

 last remnant week will be 50,000= though...then we got december+ banjo kazoie and fable 2...it will happen

A new IP will almost double the boost from an established franchise? Unlikely. More reasonable estimates put it as equalling that spike, tops. Even if all three of the games you mention do manage to equal, that only takes care of some 5-6 weeks' worth of the required sales before the crash-and-burn effect pulls sales back down to normal. You still have four weeks to account for, and that's if these games create the same phenomenon that the price drop did.

It's just not going to happen.